Jared Bernstein on Debt (Reposted with better transcript)
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TRANSCRIPT:
Paul Krugman in Conversation with Jared Bernstein
(recorded 8/20/26)
Paul Krugman: Hi everyone. Paul Krugman talking with Jared Bernstein, former chief economist, head of the Council of Economic Advisers under Joe Biden. Now a policy fellow at the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research and at the Center for American Progress, which is in DC.
Jared Bernstein: And I speak to you from Alexandria.
Krugman: Yeah, and the reason I want to talk with you is, you know, thereâs a lot of headlines now about debt. Interest rates, particularly at the long end, are way up. You and I have both been Substacking about it. I think we mostly are on the same wavelength, but Iâd like to go back and forth, and I want to talk about some work that youâve done, particularly with Bobby Kogan. But whatâs your take right now? I mean, we had all these headlines about forty trillion dollars of debt. This is very different from the way we were talking about debt a few years ago, so whatâs your take?
Bernstein: Well, Paul, like you, for many years I was pushing back on those whose hair was on fire about the urgency of the federal debt. I thought that that overheating was overheated, and that as long as the growth rate surpassed the interest rate and we sort of kept our deficits within kind of a normal range, we could service our debt without breaking a sweat. But a few years ago, I began to become more hawkish and less dovish for a couple of reasons. One, the budget math became less favorable; the growth rate looked a lot closer to the interest rate, and that was before this recent bump up in bond yields. But also, you know, Iâve been in government a lot lately, and it looked to me like neither side really cared much at all. The reaction function, as we say these days, seemed to have been kind of dead in a way that I thought was problematic.
Now, this is not a pox on both houses. And by the way, hereâs an area where you and I may have slightly different views. The Republicansâ tax cutsâand Bobby and I have done a lot of work on thisâare public enemy number one here. Exhibit A, in terms of why weâre in the mess weâre in. But you know, Democrats have largely endorsed those tax cuts and, in my view, have done some irresponsible stuff, too. So thatâs kind of my first take.
Krugman: Okay. Youâre talking about r-g, but thatâs kind of an important point, right? Why do we think about interest and growth and debt? Lots of people are out there saying, âLook, the interest on the debt is now so huge,â but thatâs not quite the whole story, but itâs closer to the story. Anyway, your version of it...
Bernstein: Yeah. For me, a lot of this comes from paying attention to Olivier Blanchardâs work. He has kind of wedged into a lot of our heads this notion that when the growth rate surpasses the rate of interest, it is possible to keep rolling over that debt and not get into a kind of debt spiral because youâre generating enough growth and revenues and incomes to sustain the debt or to roll it over. Meaning, you know, replace some old debt with new debt without worrying about the debt getting on an unsustainable trajectory. As soon as r is bigger than g, thatâs when you have the threat of a debt spiral.
Thatâs not all the math. It depends on the size of your deficits as well. But broadly speaking, for many years we had pretty good growth and pretty low interest rates. We can talk about how that growth was distributedâa lot of it didnât reach working-class peopleâbut the fact that g, the growth rate, was higher than the interest rate was one reason why I was less wound up about all this.
Krugman: Yeah, one of my favorite things is talking about the question of âHow did we pay off the debt from World War II?â And the answer is we didnât. The debt when John F. Kennedy was elected was about the same as it had been on V-J Day in dollar terms, but it was just vastly smaller as a share of the economy because we outgrew it. As long as debt doesnât rise relative to GDP, itâs not a problem. That means if the economy is growing and interest rates are not too high, not only donât you have to pay off the debt, you can actually keep it growing as long as it just doesnât grow too fast, right?
Bernstein: Exactly. So the problem we face is when our debt grows faster than our economy, when the debt ratio, or the debt-to-GDP, just keeps going up and up and up.
Krugman: Basically for much of the period when everybody was going on and on about debt, the arithmetic there was actually pretty favorable, right?
Bernstein: This is precisely why I kind of did a bit of a flip. I have an Op-ed in the Timesâitâs from at least a year agoâwhere I managed to actually get them to put a graph in, which, you know, they donât always do in there, which portrays this problem. It shows how the growth rate used to just reliably be well above the interest rate, where the economy grows faster than the debt, and so your debt-to-GDP ratio sort of glides along in a way thatâs not particularly worrisome. But it looks like itâs starting to flip and starting to change.
And then if you look at the CBO forecast, they actually have the interest rate on the debt falling below the growth rate numerous years out. And their estimates actually are kind of optimistic in debt terms because they assume a number of things: they assume tariffs continue to generate a bunch of revenue, which doesnât look to be the case; they assume that some of the Trump tax cuts would fade, but now theyâre permanent. So yeah, the budget math has gotten less comfortable.
Krugman: Okay. I want to get to the interest rates in a minute, but the deficit that weâre running right now is just incredibly large. I mean, we used to run deficits to fight wars, and then we started to have big deficits when you had severe recessions. But now we have neither. I mean, thereâs a war, but itâs not like World War II, right? Itâs a fraction of a percent of GDP.
Bernstein: Right, but itâs not free.
Krugman: Yeah, but itâs not forty percent of GDP. Itâs something like six percent of GDP now, right?
Bernstein: Exactly. Itâs a little north of six percent of GDP. And according to the kind of numbers that I run on this, with the macroeconomy doing pretty wellâand again, I know itâs not reaching a lot of folks; affordability concerns loom largeâbut you know, GDP is growing around trend, which is about two percent real. The unemployment rate is close to four percent, which is in the neighborhood of full employment. And the stock marketâs booming. We should have a deficit thatâs closer to three percent than six percent.
And whatâs happened here, Paulâand youâve written about this extensivelyâis that the constant ratcheting down of tax policy. All those tax cuts introduced by Republicans, too often kind of kept in place by Democrats, have really broken the linkage between solid economic growth and revenue flows to the Treasury. And what Bobby and I show is that if you take the Bush and the Trump tax cuts out of the mix, our fiscal scene would look fine. So, you know, thatâs important.
What you can do is simulate what the debt ratio would beâby debt ratio we mean debt-to-GDPâor what the deficit would be (either one), or what the interest payments on the deficit would be. You can simulate those if you take the Bush and the Trump tax cuts out of the system, which means taking them and not just the original cuts, but all the following-on legislation that made those cuts permanent.
You know, when I say Democrats have played a role here: I was in the Obama administration when we essentially made permanent 80% of the Bush tax cuts. Thatâs not a hundred percent, so Iâm glad that we let at least 20% at the top end revert back to what they were. But thatâs the exercise we did.
Krugman: The blue line in that chart is the projection for debt on the current trajectory, and up to the point where it gets dotted, itâs the actual debt-to-GDP. And itâs really three rounds, right? Itâs Bush, which were very much tax cuts for the one percent; then Trump 1, more tax cuts for the one percent; and then Trump 2, even more tax cuts, not entirely for the one percent. Where we are now is not at all where we would be if we hadnât had all of these tax cuts.
Bernstein: Yeah, and let me say something about this. First of all, I know you do a lot of economic history, which is just really great work in my opinion, and I just donât want our viewers to not note that that graph started back in, I think, the late 1700s. So thatâs some pretty good economic history there.
Remember, those figures, including the one that showed a much lower, much more sustainable debt path, include all the spending that is in the system. The only change weâre making is the tax cuts didnât happen. And so this is important, because there are always going to be people who say, âYou know, itâs all spending,â and âItâs all taxes,â and thatâs a common fight. But that figure keeps the spending precisely where CBO says it is. So thatâs not a judgment on whether we have the optimal amount of spendingâwe can argue about things that should be cut or expandedâbut those are the numbers; those are the facts.
Krugman: One of the things that strikes me about this is that often if weâre trying to understand what it would take to be able to pay for even what we have, that we would have to have something like European levels of taxation or something radically different. And actually, all we really need for that is Clinton-era levels of taxation.
Bernstein: Precisely right. Yeah, in fact, under the Clinton regime was the last time we had an annual surplus, so the debt-to-GDP was starting to come down, which is what happens when you have a surplus. Now, a lot of that had to do with a big bump in capital gains, and that led to more revenue flows. But thatâs precisely the channel that I think weâve shut down with this endless ratcheting down of tax policy.
Krugman: Yeah, itâs an amazing thing. And you and I both remember the nineties, and I didnât feel that we were living in a regime of oppressive taxation that was stifling entrepreneurship. Those were the roaring nineties.
Bernstein: No question. The extent to which the political class, particularly Republicans, has convinced so many people and so many media writers that taxes are always bad and must always be cut is one of the reasons weâre in this mess.
Krugman: Okay. Now, clearly the deficit is so big because of, again, another round of tax cuts and the legacy of the past tax cuts. But also, the arithmetic of debt used to basically kind of melt away relative to GDP because of growth exceeding the interest rate, and thatâs not the case anymore. Although the gap is not that large even now, right? Itâs sort of like a four percent average interest rate on federal debt and maybe three percent nominal growth, three to three and a half. But still, itâs very different now. But the thing that is really striking is that interest rates are way higher than they were not very long ago, especially, of course, at the long end. So Iâm actually not fully sure myself what I think is happening, but why do you think interest rates have gone up so much?
Bernstein: You know that old movieâI think itâs called Murder on the Orient Expressâwhere it turned out, spoiler alert, that they were looking for one perp, but there were like 17 perps?
Krugman: Yeah.
Bernstein: I think thereâs a bunch of reasons. To me, it seems credible and plausible, so I donât feel particularly confused about what Iâm seeing, though I may be missing something, but I would put at the top of the list that there are two very large demanders of credit right now in both the US and other economies as well. Those are the AI build-out and all the picks and shovels therein. Those folks are now leveraged, meaning theyâre borrowing somewhere between six, seven hundred billion and a trillion this year.
Krugman: Right.
Bernstein: Iâve seen plausible estimates that theyâre going to borrow a trillion dollars. By the way, a lot of those AI companies used to invest using cash flow. They werenât leveraging; now theyâre borrowing. And theyâre borrowing hand over fist. A lot of investors are confident about those returns. I personally think itâs kind of bubbly, but theyâre confident about those returns, so theyâre certainly buying that debt.
The other big competitor is the US government, and I just mentioned maybe the AI bros will borrow a trillion this year. Well, we know that the US governmentâs gonna borrow twice that, a little bit north of two trillion. Thatâs thing one.
Cause number two, is the Trump-induced inflation concerns. So look, if you think that inflation is going to be high and sticky and youâre about to lock up some of your money for a while in a bond, you might want an inflation premium. You might want a little bit more compensation on that interest rate to account for the fact that this is all a nominal deal, and so you want to be compensated for higher expected inflation.
Then thereâs the fact that Kevin Warsh has gotten off to a bit of a shaky start, and I think thatâs spooking markets a bit, and that kind of uncertainty also calls for a higher risk or term premium.
And then thereâs the fact that the countryâs being run by an orange maniac. I think that is kind of a long-term risk premium that any investor is concerned about. Some foreign investors, who have often bought a lot of our debt, are saying, âHuh, maybe not so fast given the way this country is governed right now.â So if you put those all together, to me they tell a pretty compelling story.
Krugman: Okay. I think I mostly agree with that, except I have a couple of questions. One is that this is global, right? Interest rates are up all around the advanced world. Theyâre more or less moving on parallel tracks in Germany, with their famous, slightly insane fiscal discipline, and in Japan, where we used to say nothing ever seemed to matter. I mean, the AI boom is mostly here, and the orange maniac is only here. He would like to be elsewhere, but heâs only here right now. Soâ
Bernstein: I think he spills over into some other places, but yes.
Krugman: Yeah. So, is there kind of a common story?
Bernstein: I mean, itâs a great question, and I should have said: I donât think anybody can explain 100% of this variance, but my R2 gets up there pretty good, I guess. I think the problem is that the fiscal accounts of other countries are looking a little bit more like ours than they used to, and that they also seem to be facing a borrowing crunch.
Japan, as you just mentioned, would make our debt-to-GDP ratio look very, very tame, because of course theyâve been north of 200%. And for years, nobody really thought that was too big a problem. But I guess because of some of the global risksâyou know, we have geopolitical dynamics; when energy is stuck in the Strait of Hormuz, that is a much bigger deal for Europe, for Japan, for China than it is for us. And so I would argue that the combination of geopolitical tensions and unbalanced fiscal accounts is probably pushing up long rates in other countries as well. But thereâs probably more to it.
Krugman: We have a couple of financial indicators that are supposed to capture some of these risks. Thereâs breakevens, right?
Bernstein: Yeah.
Krugman: The US government sells bonds that are supposedly protected against inflation, and the spread between those and regular bonds should give you an indication of what Mr. Market thinks is going to happen to inflation. And that really isnât showing anything, right?
Bernstein: Right.
Krugman: And then there are credit default swaps; insurance that will pay out if a company defaults. And there are credit default swaps on the United States government, although I always wonder a little bit what good any contract is if the US government goes into default. But anyway, those are just not flashing red at all.
Bernstein: Yeah, I can speak to that. Thereâs a couple of points here, one of which I think is very important that you made in your post this morning, and Iâve been trying to stress as well. I really want to make sure we get into it, which I will here.
The first point is that a second ago I said thereâs an inflation premium in some of these bonds, meaning that credit investors want to have a slightly higher return because theyâre worried about expected inflation. I think thatâs a pretty small part of the puzzle; I think itâs more on short-term than on long-term loans. And this is clear if you look at where you really see the increaseâfor example, the 30-year bond is in the inflation-protected version, and that tells you that itâs not just inflation; itâs making the breakeven point a different way. And that tells you that thereâs some nervousness about the long-term prospects of the US project.
The important thing that I wanted to nail here is that I think of this as much more of a slow burn than something thatâs going to explode this week or next week. I donât think the US is going to have a Liz Truss moment. Iâm referring to the case in the UK where creditors engaged in whatâs called a sudden stop: they looked at her fiscal plan and said, âThatâs it, weâre out. Weâre not going to invest in that country anymore.â I donât think that happens here, for a variety of reasons that you and I can tick through.
But that doesnât mean that everythingâs fine and happy-dappy or weâre out of the woods. Itâs more of a slow burn, this upward pressure on rates, which folds into affordabilityâmortgage, auto, credit card loans, and so onâthat is a problem for American households and consumers. And that is less of a âwhatâs inflation going to be next weekâ story and more of a âhigher for longerâ problem, where rates look to me and to many others like theyâre going to stay up for a while because these problems are structural.
Krugman: Yeah. Thereâs a lot of crisis talk, as there was, by the way, back in 2010 when there was really no problem at all. And my problem with that has always been: explain to me how that happens. You say people will go on a buyersâ strike and try to sell all of their US government debt, and my question is always, âAnd buy what?â I mean, itâs not like thereâs an obvious place. Even for Britain, the Liz Truss moment was much more limited than people claim. And for the US as a whole, itâs not like Greece, where people were demanding euros and the Greeks couldnât print euros. As someone said, itâs that we should be thinking about termites, not a tornado.
Bernstein: Yeah, and hereâs why I think this is so important, and you and I have both been circling around this point: Itâs very important for human welfareânot just American, but for human welfareâthat the current thugs running the government be banished and held accountable. Iâm sorry if that sounds partisan, but I donât think it is.
And for that to happen, I donât think candidates can run onâI remember the John Kasich platform, which is, âVote for me and Iâll lower the debt and the deficit. Weâll all eat our spinach.â And I think thatâs a mistake. I think itâs a mistake politically, and I think itâs a mistake economically. As you wrote this morning, donât panic. I agree with that. This is a structural problem thatâs not going away anytime soon, but we can chip away at it by reversing some of the high-end tax cuts, which I think would be both progressive and send a signal to markets and investors that weâre actually back in the business of having a reaction function to our unsustainable path.
But first and foremost, we have to meet the very basic, urgent needs of households that have been left behind for too long: health care, child care, housing, energy costs. That, to me, is the first demand on fiscal policy. And so I think the fact that neither you nor I see a pending sudden stop or credit crisisâwe could be wrong about that, in which case weâll have to reconfigureâbut based on history, I think we still have time to get this right, and we should do both. We should walk and chew gum.
Krugman: Okay. At the risk of delaying a moment until we get to what to do, thereâs one thing that kinda bothers me intellectually: during the era of low interest rates, we had a really good storyâsecular stagnationâbasically that largely because of low birth rates and a stagnant working-age population, there was just going to be lots of savings and not enough places to spend it on. And thatâs kind of what we thought had happened to Japan. And now here we are.
Just six years ago, I would have been a full-on secular stagnation guy, and now we have, whatever it is, 5.3% interest rates on the 30-year. Were we all wrong about that, or did something really radically change?
Bernstein: I think that we were over-torquing or over-indexing a bit on a period where interest rates were uniquely low, and we built a big story about secular stagnation that I sort of believed at the time. But I look back now and I think that perhaps that wasnât as believable as we thought.
I think what might have been happening instead was we just had what Ben Bernanke called a global savings glut. We had excess savings, and there are a lot of reasons for that; it doesnât have to be a lack of investment opportunities. A lot of it had to do with international imbalances, which youâve written a lot about. And so these excess savings found their ways into U.S. Treasuries because it was the safest debt you could buy, and the U.S. looked like a going concern, so a lot of those resources flowed here. And that glut of savings, often coming out of Asian trade surpluses, led to rates that were really quite depressed for a long time. But as those dynamics changed, I think the savings glut is in the rearview mirror and the dynamics are more like those weâre talking about today.
Krugman: Yeah. If I can say, one intellectual trap that I fall into far more often than I should is the lure of a beautiful model that seems to fit the facts for a while. The secular stagnation model was lovely, and it all fit together, and there were the low interest rates. And then all of a sudden, it wasnât really that solidly grounded. But the fact that a model seems to work for a while doesnât necessarily meanâ
Bernstein: Well, it may have been the right model for the time. And look, youâve made a career and won a Nobel Prize for beautiful models, so I wouldnâtâI donât want to wave you off of that.
But I think thereâs another dynamic to thisâsee if this resonates with you. One of the foundational principles behind secular stagnation is the idea that thereâs more savings than there are credible investments, or places to put it; thereâs just an absence of investment.
Krugman: Right.
Bernstein: And by the way, when Larry Summers raised this issue of secular stagnation, Ben Bernanke stood up at the IMF conference and said, âWait a second, thereâs lots of places to invest.â Iâm not sure that was exactly right at the time, but it sure is not the case now, right? And thatâs the AI boom.
Thereâs this tremendous investment opportunity going on now. Again, I think those guys are over their skis because thereâs so much more investment than there is profitability right now that I have bubble worries, and Ryan Cummings and I have written numerous pieces on this. But secular stagnation, or the absence of investment to absorb the excess savings, may have been a fact for a few years there, but as this new technology came along, as is often the case, you now have an investment absorption mechanism.
Krugman: Right. And itâs probably worth saying, just going back, that itâs not just that the hyperscalers are borrowing money when they used to not have to, but also presumably before, all of these huge profits being generated off our social media addiction were effectively being parked in places where they could then be lent out. And now, instead of pouring water into that pool, theyâre drawing water out of it, and that adds to this pressure.
Okay, big question: hopefully January 20th, 2029, Presidentâname your favoriteâwith majorities in both houses comes in. And aside from needing to go after all of the legacy of corruption and all of that, theyâre going to come in during what looks like itâs going to be a less forgiving financial environment than we might have hoped. What do you do? Whatâs your agenda for how we address all this?
Bernstein: Well, first of all, from your lips to Godâs ears, as we used to say. If we find ourselves in that situation, I will be partying in the streets and not worrying about the interest rate, at least for a few days.
Iâm sure youâre right, and itâs an important question and an important framing of the question. I think thereâs a path forward, though. First of all, we should definitely hold the Trumpies accountable and in a big way. Iâve written about that, and I think we have to Trump-proof our government because other authoritarians will come along. But if thatâs all we do, weâre falling short. We really have to attack with the affordability agenda. And there, I think we should look at not just Mamdani and some of the others on the left who are making delivering the absolute key plank of their political project, but so is Abigail Spanberger and Mikie Sherrill from the center. So itâs not just a left-center thing; itâs just about rejecting the status quo and delivering to American households whoâve been not just abandoned, but abused for so long, especially under this administration.
And in terms of the context of what weâre talking about now, how do you do that if youâre in a high-rate environment and you have this budget outlook? Well, we have to reverse the high-end tax cuts. We have to close investment loopholes. We have to close the tax gap. We have to fund the IRS enforcement mechanism, because for every dollar you invest in IRS enforcement, you collect something like nine or ten dollars in taxes that are currently being evaded almost exclusively from the top of the scale. Closing the tax gap is a project that could yield five, six, seven hundred billion per year.
Krugman: Let me, by the way, explain again for listeners: âthe tax gapâ is a term of art. Itâs not just hand-waving; itâs speaking specifically about money that people owe that weâre not collecting because the IRS doesnât have the resources, and itâs overwhelmingly very high-income people. So youâre saying thatâs like two percent of GDP.
Bernstein: I recently heard Natasha Sarin talk about this and she used, I think, that exact figure. Iâm colorblind, so Iâm not sure what color it was, but the chart that Bobby Kogan and I usedâI think it was greenâthat could get us closer back to that debt-to-GDP line thatâs much more sustainable. And they rest largely on applying taxes to where income and wealth have exploded at the top of the scale, so they neither hurt middle-income people nor compromise the affordability agenda.
I donât want to be too Pollyannaish about this: a dollar spent on childcare is a dollar thatâs not available for debt reduction. But what I really donât think we should do is say we have to come in here and clean up the Republicansâ debt mess as our first priority. Anything we do that stops digging us into a deeper fiscal holeâeven if weâre digging more slowly, or even better yet, stop digging, not necessarily fillingâwould be, I think, not only good fiscal policy, but probably welcomed by the markets as a sign that the congressional reaction function to the fiscal outlook isnât dead.
Krugman: I regret to inform you that the good debt scenario, if we hadnât had all of these irresponsible tax cuts, the line is orange, which is kind of an unfortunate choice given where we are in America right now.
Bernstein: Whoops.
Krugman: But anyway, I think you may have partially answered my question. When I look at that âif we hadnât had those tax cutsâ line, that would be great. If that was where we were, then I certainly wouldnât be worrying at all about debt. But although those tax cuts were very heavily tilted to the top, with something like thirty to forty percent going to the one percent, reversing all of them would hit a number of people who at least think of themselves as middle class. And so the question is: what is within the realm of the politically possible that we can actually do?
Bernstein: Great question. And I definitely have argued and tried to stress that the right place to start and to linger is at the top of the scale. I donât think we should raise taxes on middle-class or middle-class-adjacent people; theyâre having a hard enough time already and donât need an extra tax burden.
But the extent to which income and wealth have accumulated at the top of the scaleâIâm sure youâve seen the factor share data showing that the labor share of national income is kind of uniquely low and the profit share is uniquely high. And so I think we have to be pretty aggressive in that regard, but we can do so without dinging the middle class.
If you listen to some budget hawks, they say we have to get back to that orange line. To be clear, Iâm not saying that. I donât think we do have to get back to the orange line. By the way, Danny Yagan has some nice papers on this, saying that we can be really gradual about getting back to some version of fiscal responsibility, but we have to move in that direction. We sort of have to change the sign, even if the magnitude is tiny.
Krugman: Yeah, I think the post-World War II story is actually kind of helpful here because people talked for a long time about, âHow are we going to pay the national debt? How are we gonna pay off the war debts?â And we never did. In fact, by sometime in the sixties the debt was higher in dollar terms than it had been, but the trajectory of all of the ratios was down, and we probably donât even have to do that steep a descent, right?
Bernstein: Yeah. Some people want to say that AI is gonna save our bacon because itâs gonna generate so much growth. In the piece with Bobby, we have a section on it, and my view is kind of like: hope for the best, plan for the worst.
Krugman: Yeah.
Bernstein: Iâm kind of stuck on the fact that the internet really did eventually have a strong productivity impact, and then it went away.
Krugman: Yeah, things can go into reverse, but there was only about ten years of good growth.
Bernstein: Yeah, exactly, and then we kind of got back to where we were. So a lot of the AI productivity discussion assumes that not only will AI boost the level of productivity, but itâll just keep getting better and better and better so that it improves the growth rate. And you know, I hope thatâs true, but I certainly wouldnât bet on it.
Krugman: So, what are you hoping for in the spring of 2029 as our hypothetical virtuous government comes along?
Bernstein: I am hoping for the following: I spend a fair amount of time scratching my aging noggin with the question of how much of the damage done by the Trump regime is temporary and can be quickly repaired, or is long-term and will be with us for a while.
If a good Democrat takes over and we have some legislative power, can we restore good relationships with Canada and Europe? Or are they gonna be like, âScrew you, weâve seen what you guys do. Youâre okay, but we donât know who the next guyâs gonna be. We might be looking at President Vance around the corner.â
So I guess what Iâm hoping for and looking for is that the damage can be reversed in my lifetime, which isnât the longest span of years. And thatâs an open question.
What about you? You answer that question.
Krugman: Well, okay. When you ask me about the economicsâcan we restore, can we even significantly reverse the drift to oligarchyâIâm actually fairly optimistic that itâs within the realm of the doable. When it comes to our international relations, when it comes to our military credibility, I donât know. I think weâre talking about a generations-long project, and that really upsets me quite a lot.
At some level, you know, I talk about Iran or something like that and I say, âOkay, this is Trumpâs failure and we should wrap it around his neck.â But in the end, itâs my country, too. And my God, we are not the country we were in the eyes of the world, and I donât know when we ever will be again.
Bernstein: I agree with you, Paul, and I share that worry. Iâll only say the following: it may be a generational project, but if it is, itâs a great generational project, and generations should be anxious to undertake it.
Krugman: Well, on that happy note, thanks so much for talking to me.
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