Theoretical--operational modelling of complex experiments: parameter robustness and degeneracy in muon

Physics > Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability [Submitted on 3 Sep 2026] Title:Theoretical--operational modelling of complex experiments: parameter robustness and degeneracy in muon--electron conversion View PDF HTML (experimental)Abstract:Complex experiments infer theory parameters through a coupled chain of physical models and data reduction. We formulate the theoretical--operational model (TOM) as a typed factorization of this forward prediction and study how changes of preparation, phenomenon modelling, readout, backgrounds, and analysis project onto the local manifold generated by the physics parameters. For a smooth prediction and a locally identifiable weighted least-squares estimate, the resulting response map separates each model deformation into a parameter-equivalent component and a residual component that cannot be absorbed by a change of the fitted physics parameters. This gives local criteria for robustness, exact degeneracy, and partial degeneracy of parameter inference. The construction is applied to charged-lepton-flavour-violating muon--electron conversion in aluminium. A one-bin conversion-rate model exhibits an exact normalization degeneracy. In a two-template model of the elastic--inelastic spectrum, a common signal normalization is absorbed by the fitted conversion rate without changing an operator-sensitive nuclear-response ratio, whereas a relative elastic--inelastic efficiency change is exactly parameter-equivalent to a change of that ratio at first order. A numerical Run-I example based on published Mu2e spectra shows that a \(100\,\mathrm{keV}/c\) momentum-scale mismatch is only partially parameter-equivalent: its projection ratio onto the local tangent space generated by the elastic normalization \(R_0\) and the logarithmic inelastic-to-elastic response ratio \(\rho\) is \(\eta=0.331\), while most of the weighted spectral deformation remains as a residual shape. TOM thereby provides a local theoretical description of parameter robustness and degeneracy at the interface of particle/nuclear phenomenology and experimental realization. Current browse context: physics.data-an References & Citations Loading... Bibliographic and Citation Tools Bibliographic Explorer (What is the Explorer?) Connected Papers (What is Connected Papers?) Litmaps (What is Litmaps?) scite Smart Citations (What are Smart Citations?) Code, Data and Media Associated with this Article alphaXiv (What is alphaXiv?) CatalyzeX Code Finder for Papers (What is CatalyzeX?) DagsHub (What is DagsHub?) Gotit.pub (What is GotitPub?) Hugging Face (What is Huggingface?) ScienceCast (What is ScienceCast?) Demos Recommenders and Search Tools Influence Flower (What are Influence Flowers?) CORE Recommender (What is CORE?) arXivLabs: experimental projects with community collaborators arXivLabs is a framework that allows collaborators to develop and share new arXiv features directly on our website. Both individuals and organizations that work with arXivLabs have embraced and accepted our values of openness, community, excellence, and user data privacy. arXiv is committed to these values and only works with partners that adhere to them. Have an idea for a project that will add value for arXiv's community? Learn more about arXivLabs.