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Chaos at the UN climate panel complete: no agreement, no budget, and no report?

Chaos at the authoritative UN climate panel complete: no agreement, no budget, and no report? The fierce political struggle over the world's most influential climate report seems to have been settled in favor of the oil and coal countries. After a week of discussion, no agreement has been reached on when that report should be published. The question is now whether it can even be published in time for an important climate summit in 2028. This means the chaos at the authoritative UN climate panel IPCC is complete. The discussion surrounding the publication timeline never derailed so completely. The IPCC chairman Jim Skea has now ended the meeting without an agreement on that timeline or the budgets being seen as a victory for a number of countries with fossil interests, who want to delay the report until after the 2028 climate summit. Oil and coal countries, Saudi Arabia and India in particular, want to prevent this collection of available knowledge about global warming from being released in time for that summit. This is because it is at that moment that progress made to achieve the Paris climate goals should be assessed. It was agreed to limit global warming to 2 degrees, and preferably to 1.5 degrees. The assessment of international climate policy becomes much more difficult when the latest knowledge is not available. Stifled Before closing the meeting, IPCC chairman Skea tried to get the budget for 2027 approved so that the hundreds of international scientists could continue working on their part of the report. However, this was blocked by the Indians and Saudis. Together with a number of poorer countries, they argue for delaying the IPCC report, according to their own words, to give climate scientists in poorer countries more time to do their work. This way, those poorer countries, with fewer climate scientists and money, would be better represented in the final IPCC reports. Critics warn that countries like Saudi Arabia, India, Russia, and China are using this legitimate discussion to protect their fossil interests. Whether the chance that the report will be released on time is now definitively stifled has not yet been said out loud, but it is becoming much more difficult. In any case, in the first months of 2027, it will be almost impossible to continue the work normally, which will be very short for the involved climate scientists with their already tight deadlines. World Leaders The fact that the 195 countries present this week did not agree is very damaging for the Nobel Prize-winning IPCC. The panel is considered a relatively stable party in a further totally politicized climate debate with its collection of all climate knowledge. At the beginning of this year, President Trump withdrew the United States from the IPCC, which caused the panel to lose important funding. Although the US was not always the most enthusiastic driver in climate diplomacy, American climate scientists and their work are considered virtually indispensable. The US also had a moderating effect on countries like Saudi Arabia. Experts do not rule out that the current impasse partly arose from the US departure. The meeting is now over, and the attending delegations and independent climate scientists remain confused about what to do next. A beginning of an answer to this question may come sooner than expected. Next month, many world leaders are traveling to the international climate summit COP31 in Turkey. Behind the scenes, it is heard that the fight for the IPCC will continue there.

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